Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 99% |
| O/U 39.5 | 98% |
| O/U 41.5 | 95% |
| O/U 35.5 | 93% |
| O/U 43.5 | 93% |
| Florida International O/U 20.5 | 90% |
| O/U 45.5 | 88% |
| Florida International O/U 23.5 | 82% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 23.5 | 82% |
| O/U 47.5 | 81% |
| O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| Spread -0.5 | 67% |
| O/U 51.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 53.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| Florida International O/U 26.5 | 60% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 29.5 | 60% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 26.5 | 57% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 32.5 | 56% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Florida International O/U 29.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Florida International O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State | 42% |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 63.5 | 38% |
| O/U 65.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| O/U 61.5 | 31% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 35.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| O/U 67.5 | 18% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| O/U 69.5 | 15% |
| O/U 71.5 | 15% |
| O/U 73.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State. In the upcoming college football game between Florida International and Jacksonville State, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida International" if Florida Intern…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $477K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Florida International vs. Jacksonville State" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →