Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 32.5 | 92% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| Stanford O/U 16.5 | 84% |
| O/U 38.5 | 81% |
| Stanford O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| O/U 28.5 | 79% |
| O/U 30.5 | 79% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 79% |
| O/U 34.5 | 77% |
| O/U 36.5 | 74% |
| O/U 40.5 | 69% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 65% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 64% |
| O/U 44.5 | 59% |
| O/U 48.5 | 58% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| O/U 50.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| O/U 52.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| O/U 56.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -12.5 | 34% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 58.5 | 33% |
| O/U 60.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -12.5 | 32% |
| O/U 64.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| O/U 66.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| O/U 54.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| O/U 62.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| Spread -11.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| O/U 68.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 92% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Georgia Tech vs. Stanford. In the upcoming college football game between Georgia Tech and Stanford, scheduled for September 26 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Georgia Tech" if Georgia Tech win the game. This market …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $264K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognose Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognose Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Georgia Tech vs. Stanford" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →