Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 37.5 | 87% |
| James Madison O/U 20.5 | 86% |
| Spread -0.5 | 80% |
| O/U 39.5 | 80% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| O/U 43.5 | 72% |
| James Madison vs. Appalachian State | 71% |
| James Madison O/U 23.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 47.5 | 53% |
| 2H Moneyline | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| O/U 69.5 | 51% |
| O/U 71.5 | 51% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Appalachian State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Appalachian State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Appalachian State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Appalachian State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Appalachian State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Appalachian State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| O/U 49.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| Appalachian State O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| O/U 51.5 | 39% |
| Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| James Madison O/U 32.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| James Madison O/U 26.5 | 33% |
| O/U 53.5 | 32% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| O/U 55.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 13% |
| Spread -5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| O/U 73.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: james madison vs. appalachian state 100%. In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and Appalachian State, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madis…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $379K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: James Madison vs. Appalachian State über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognose Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognose Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognose Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: James Madison vs. Appalachian State" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →