Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| O/U 37.5 | 93% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 92% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 1H Moneyline | 91% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 91% |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati | 84% |
| O/U 43.5 | 83% |
| Spread -1.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 76% |
| O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| O/U 45.5 | 72% |
| O/U 47.5 | 70% |
| Spread -5.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| O/U 49.5 | 67% |
| O/U 51.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| Spread -12.5 | 46% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| O/U 55.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| O/U 59.5 | 40% |
| Kansas State O/U 27.5 | 37% |
| O/U 63.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -19.5 | 33% |
| O/U 65.5 | 33% |
| O/U 69.5 | 32% |
| O/U 71.5 | 31% |
| O/U 75.5 | 31% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| O/U 61.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 22% |
| Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| Cincinnati O/U 30.5 | 20% |
| Cincinnati O/U 27.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| O/U 67.5 | 13% |
| Spread -23.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| O/U 73.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Spread -11.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Kansas State vs. Cincinnati. In the upcoming college football game between Kansas State and Cincinnati, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas State" if Kansas State win the game. This market…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $287K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Kansas State vs. Cincinnati über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognose Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognose Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Kansas State vs. Cincinnati" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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