Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| O/U 32.5 | 65% |
| O/U 34.5 | 59% |
| O/U 36.5 | 57% |
| O/U 40.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State | 44% |
| O/U 42.5 | 42% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| O/U 46.5 | 37% |
| Spread -12.5 | 36% |
| O/U 38.5 | 36% |
| O/U 52.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| O/U 48.5 | 35% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| O/U 64.5 | 35% |
| O/U 66.5 | 35% |
| Arkansas State O/U 23.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 23.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 17.5 | 26% |
| O/U 44.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| Arkansas State O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| O/U 50.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| O/U 54.5 | 9% |
| O/U 58.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| O/U 56.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 4% |
| O/U 68.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State. In the upcoming college football game between Kennesaw State and Arkansas State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kennesaw State" if Kennesaw State win the game. T…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $171K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognose Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognose Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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