Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 90% |
| O/U 37.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 76% |
| O/U 39.5 | 74% |
| O/U 41.5 | 73% |
| Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| Spread -0.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| O/U 43.5 | 63% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| O/U 45.5 | 58% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 31% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| O/U 51.5 | 30% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| O/U 75.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| O/U 73.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| 1H Moneyline | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 55.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -8.5 | 15% |
| O/U 59.5 | 15% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| O/U 61.5 | 9% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| O/U 63.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| O/U 71.5 | 5% |
| O/U 67.5 | 4% |
| O/U 69.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: pittsburgh vs. boston college 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Boston College, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $388K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognose Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Pittsburgh vs. Boston College" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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