Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 67% |
| O/U 37.5 | 62% |
| Buffalo O/U 23.5 | 61% |
| UMass O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| O/U 39.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| UMass 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UMass O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| UMass O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Buffalo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 43.5 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 45.5 | 36% |
| O/U 47.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| O/U 49.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| O/U 61.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| O/U 51.5 | 25% |
| O/U 65.5 | 25% |
| O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| O/U 69.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| O/U 71.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| O/U 57.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 7% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: UMass vs. Buffalo. In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Buffalo, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "Buffalo"…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $197K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: UMass vs. Buffalo auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: UMass vs. Buffalo" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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