Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 88% |
| O/U 37.5 | 85% |
| Memphis O/U 20.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 83% |
| O/U 41.5 | 81% |
| O/U 43.5 | 77% |
| Memphis O/U 23.5 | 77% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane | 71% |
| O/U 45.5 | 71% |
| Spread -0.5 | 70% |
| Memphis O/U 32.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| O/U 47.5 | 68% |
| 1H Moneyline | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| Memphis O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Memphis O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tulane O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| Spread -16.5 | 45% |
| Spread -20.5 | 45% |
| Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| O/U 59.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| Spread -0.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 29% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| O/U 65.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| O/U 67.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| O/U 69.5 | 18% |
| O/U 71.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
Markt-Kontext
Memphis vs. Tulane. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 71% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-16T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $141K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Memphis vs. Tulane auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognose Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognose Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23be123c%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Memphis vs. Tulane" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →