Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 93% |
| O/U 46.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 90% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 8.5 | 90% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 90% |
| O/U 52.5 | 89% |
| Georgia State O/U 30.5 | 88% |
| O/U 54.5 | 86% |
| O/U 56.5 | 83% |
| Georgia State O/U 27.5 | 82% |
| O/U 58.5 | 81% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 16.5 | 81% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| O/U 64.5 | 78% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 70.5 | 55% |
| Georgia State O/U 33.5 | 55% |
| O/U 68.5 | 54% |
| O/U 48.5 | 51% |
| O/U 50.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 38% |
| Spread -13.5 | 38% |
| Spread -14.5 | 36% |
| Spread -12.5 | 35% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Spread -15.5 | 33% |
| O/U 76.5 | 33% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State | 28% |
| Spread -17.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -23.5 | 23% |
| Spread -24.5 | 22% |
| Spread -27.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 10% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 100% Chance für prognose: northern illinois vs. georgia state. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Georgia State, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if North…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $243K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prognose Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognose Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognose Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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