Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State | 99% |
| Spread -3.5 | 98% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -10.5 | 96% |
| Ohio O/U 23.5 | 96% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 96% |
| Spread -7.5 | 95% |
| Spread -6.5 | 95% |
| Spread -5.5 | 94% |
| Spread -11.5 | 94% |
| Spread -14.5 | 93% |
| Spread -13.5 | 93% |
| Spread -15.5 | 93% |
| Spread -9.5 | 93% |
| Spread -16.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 11.5 | 90% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 15.5 | 90% |
| Spread -17.5 | 89% |
| O/U 35.5 | 89% |
| Spread -20.5 | 83% |
| O/U 37.5 | 79% |
| Spread -21.5 | 79% |
| Spread -19.5 | 79% |
| O/U 39.5 | 78% |
| Spread -24.5 | 74% |
| Spread -18.5 | 73% |
| O/U 41.5 | 71% |
| Spread -22.5 | 71% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 68% |
| Spread -27.5 | 66% |
| O/U 45.5 | 65% |
| O/U 43.5 | 61% |
| Spread -28.5 | 58% |
| Spread -30.5 | 56% |
| O/U 47.5 | 51% |
| Ohio O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Sacramento State O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -31.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 49% |
| O/U 49.5 | 43% |
| Spread -34.5 | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 36% |
| O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| O/U 57.5 | 34% |
| O/U 53.5 | 32% |
| O/U 61.5 | 29% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 26% |
| O/U 69.5 | 25% |
| O/U 73.5 | 25% |
| O/U 75.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| O/U 59.5 | 15% |
| Sacramento State O/U 23.5 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 6% |
| O/U 71.5 | 4% |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Ohio vs. Sacramento State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 99% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-18T02:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $155K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Ohio vs. Sacramento State auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognose Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognose Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23be123c%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Ohio vs. Sacramento State" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →