Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 39.5 | 88% |
| O/U 35.5 | 82% |
| O/U 37.5 | 82% |
| O/U 41.5 | 77% |
| O/U 45.5 | 77% |
| O/U 43.5 | 75% |
| O/U 47.5 | 72% |
| Spread -0.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 65% |
| O/U 51.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 53.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| O/U 55.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Houston O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| Houston O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Utah O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Utah 1H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Utah 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Houston 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Houston 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Houston vs. Utah: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Houston vs. Utah: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Houston vs. Utah: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Houston vs. Utah: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Houston O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 49% |
| Houston vs. Utah: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Utah O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Houston O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| Utah O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Houston vs. Utah: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| Utah O/U 32.5 | 46% |
| Utah O/U 35.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 45% |
| O/U 59.5 | 44% |
| Houston 1H O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Spread -8.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| 1H Moneyline | 34% |
| Spread -13.5 | 33% |
| Houston vs. Utah | 32% |
| Spread -0.5 | 31% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| O/U 67.5 | 31% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 71.5 | 28% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 19% |
| O/U 73.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 75.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Houston vs. Utah — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 88%. In the upcoming college football game between Houston and Utah, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston" if Houston win the game. This market will resolve to "Utah"…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $92K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prognose Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognose Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Houston vs. Utah" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
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