Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognose Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 96% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 96% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 90% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 89% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 88% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 87% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 84% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 82% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| O/U 38.5 | 79% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 79% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| O/U 41.5 | 68% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 66% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| O/U 43.5 | 63% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 61% |
| O/U 44.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 45.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 46.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| O/U 47.5 | 51% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 49% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Falcons vs. Saints | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 43% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| Falcons vs. Saints: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 35% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| O/U 52.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| O/U 56.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| O/U 58.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 20% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 20% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| O/U 62.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| O/U 64.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-13 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-12 | 8% |
| Safety? | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 14-20 | 6% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-18 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 21+ | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-24 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+ | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Falcons vs. Saints" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 96% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 5 at 8:15PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints". If the game is postponed, th…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $562K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Falcons vs. Saints über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognose Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognose Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Falcons vs. Saints" auf Prognose Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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